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Cake day: April 24th, 2024

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  • I’ve hated him since before Trump’s first election, correctly realizing he is a fradulent try hard con man megalomaniac, and have had to endure a decade of people mocking me ‘oh yeah like you are smarter than the richest man on earth yeah right fuck off’.

    Yep. I am smarter than him. So were half the people hurling those insults at me, actually.

    Elon is actually quite stupid at everything other than conning people.

    Much like Trump.


  • Hehe sounds about right.

    Yeah… a whole lot of gamers… seem to… think they know how game design works, think they know how to solve technical problems…

    And well now in the last decade we see the buckets of slop games on steam made by such idiots, confirming that indeed, 95% of them have no clue about anything.

    I was an early beta tester for Project Reality, which has now become its own studio, Squad is literally Project Reality just rebuilt in UE 4 to higher quality, because EA wouldn’t liscense out Frostbite to them.

    But thats all a tangent to hopefully lend some creedence to when I say: solving network lag and having good netcode is actually extremely complicated and difficult, even still today.

    We still see AAA studios fucking up the basics of a lot of netcode stuff in mmo/rpg typr games, where they just make way, way too much shit clientside authoritative, and then have to spend a year or two redesigning the entire game.

    This, in turn, is why third party kernel anti cheats have taken off so much, because game devs just fucking give up at making a reasonably secure networked game.

    Meanwhile Valve figured this shit out literal decades ago, with highly efficient netcode, and a mostly server side AC solution.

    It isn’t possible to stop 100% of cheaters.

    It is possible to stop 99.9% of them by designing your game and netcode well.

    But that is apparently too hard, so basically the entite industry has outsourced it and/or solved it with massively inefficient and privacy/security compromising AC.


  • So, its now around a day or two later.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/09/dramatic-sell-off-of-us-government-bonds-as-tariff-war-panic-deepens

    I was right, Varoufakis is wrong.

    Again, Varoufakis idea is:

    Central to this new global order would be a cheaper dollar that remains the world’s reserve currency — this would lower US long-term borrowing rates even more. Can Trump have his cake (a hegemonic dollar and low-yielding US Treasuries) and eat it (a depreciated dollar)?

    and

    Consequently, the euro, the yen and the renminbi will soften relative to the dollar. This will cancel out the price hikes of goods imported into the US, and leave the prices American consumers pay unaffected. The tariffed countries will be in effect paying for Trump’s tariffs.

    Summarized, he thinks that:

    US Bond prices will go up

    and/or

    US Bond yields will go down

    and

    The USD will appreciate compared to the Yen, Euro, Renminbi, that is to say, a dollar will be worth more yen, euro, ren.

    What is actually happening is:

    US Bond prices are going down.

    US Bond yields are going up.

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/USD-JPY?window=1M

    https://www.google.com/finance/quote/USD-EUR?window=1M

    USD is depreciating, not appreciating, compared to yen and euro.

    The USD/CNY is exchange rate is set at a fixed rate by China, and they haven’t moved it yet.

    So uh, no Mr. Varoufakis, Trump cannot have his cake and eat it too, infact he shit in the cake and then threw the mixture all around the room, now he gets nothing that he wanted.

    Trump has destroyed the Bretton Woods USD hegemony, but in a way that is utterly catastrophic for the US, not some extremely clever 12D chess move.


  • Someone playing Quake, a game that only came out a few years later, with that kind of machine you’re talking about would dominate. Not because of skill, but simply that his comp has the speed that can allow him to act and react much faster than his opponents.

    Exactly.

    In that sense, ‘pay to win’ has always been a thing lol.

    You sound probably a bit older than me, but I can’t tell you how many times in the 90s and early 00s that I legitimately lost games due to having a garbage tier ping to basically everywhere, and a shitty eMachine, and everyone else just acted like none of that mattered and I was just whining.

    Then, surprise, me and the online boys all jump into a server where they all have pings of 80, I have a ping of 200, and then they’re all mad that I cant hit anybody because enemies are rubber banding around like fucking DBZ characters for me.

    … Then I do a LAN party with local friends and utterly dominate, routinely.

    -.-



  • In the last minutes of the stream, Musk made a hardcore difficulty character he named Kekius Maximus, a 4chan-esque meme name he’s used as his display name on X. But Kekius Maximus was not long for the world. Musk died to one of the game’s tutorial bosses due to a bad connection, which subsequently concluded the stream, ending another sad, weird data point in the Elon Musk fake gamer saga.

    The guy who claimed he was a top tier Quake player… who in actuality, was only scoring well in online matches, because he played on the T1 high speed, stupid expensive business line at his Zip2 business in the 90s… and performed terribly at LANs…

    Well here he is 30 years later, now dying to a tutorial boss, partially due to the shitty connection of his own ISP.

    Amazing.


  • For what its worth, CyberPunk 2077 is … an alt history that diverges from our own … at some point in the 1960s I think?

    Like… the Soviet Union still exists. In 2077.

    Point being: The ‘Japanese megacorps taking over much of the American economy’ fear of our own 1980s is very, very much a big part of the lore/universe.

    Pondsmith published the first version of the lore in 1988 as the TTRPG ‘Cyberpunk’, originally set in 2013, and this kept getting added to and expanded with subsequent editions.

    Arasaka is… well hopefully without spoiling too much, Arasaka corp is basically run by a Japanese fighter pilot ace who pretty much swore eternal vengeance on America after Japan got nuked and lost the war, and his idea of how to do this includes figuring out how to become immortal, so that he can continue to run a megacorp that ultimately usurps American sovereignty and turns the country into his neo-corpo-feudal subjects.

    You can get almost all of that by playing through the Corpo intro character path and actually watching the informative slideshow thing in the elevator and on walls/screens in the … megalobby, so hopefully thats not too spoilery.

    Also in Die Hard it is Nakatomi Plaza iirc, Nakatomi being the name of the fictional Japanese corp.

    Anyway woo random trivia.


  • sp3ctr4l@lemmy.ziptoMicroblog Memes@lemmy.worldrealistically
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    3 months ago

    Yes hello, who is this?

    Oh ok, yes.

    Ah well you see, our salesman lied to you, Mr. Customer, he just says insane nonsense that bears no relation to reality in order to get you to give us money. That’s his job. Anyway, when Mr. Salesman gave you a delivery date, he didn’t tell us over here in product assembly about that until about 2 weeks ago, and it’ll take us about 8 weeks to actually make your order quantity.

    What’s that? No, no problems here on the assembly line, we actually churned out 15% more widgets last quarter than the quarter before that, and we’re on track for current quarter production numbers to also grow by 15%.

    Yep, yep, sorry about that, and that’s a good point, Mr. Salesman may have just added a 0 to those growth figures we reported to him when he was talking with you.

    Of course! Thanks for doing business with us! I’ll hand you back over to Mr. Salesman now.

    Ahem.

    Fuck sales.

    This is what I would actually say, and this is why I apparently have ‘poor interpersonal skills’.





  • No problem!

    But uh… I dunno exactly what your masters in the medical field is, but the medical field is also absolutely chalk full of people with sometimes real, legit degrees and sometimes absolute bullshit ones like chiropracty and naturopathy…

    Who routinely publish pop-medical books oriented toward the general public, using their official credentials for clout, often promoting dubious or utterly false and dangerous misinformation.

    Yout field is not immune… though yes, there generally is a better unified official condemnation… but only after a certain person has reached a certain level of popularity/infamy, and the seeds of nonsense have already been sewn.

    Then the official condemnation is seen as censoring heroic truth warriors and the conspiracy theories abound.



  • I’ve very recently also seen this.

    Basically uh, yeah, that tracks, that seems completely inline with the rest of how completely ridiculous this all is.

    So… why haven’t the books been withdrawn?

    Because academia, academics, … they regulate and peer review Journals. Published papers. Textbooks used in classes.

    Not books designed for popular consumption, pop-econ, pop-psych, pop-whatever.

    Why hasn’t he been rejected by the Econ community?

    Ironically, because of the nature of the incentive structure of the field of Econ.

    Way, waaay too much overlap with politics and business, so its basically split into psuedo religious ideological camps, who often realize they can make way more money or have may more power by working for a hedge fund or being some kind of propogandist.

    So… in that sense… the academic Econ community rarely is even capable of coming out as a unified body of academics and rejecting someone. There are too many different ideological camps, they’re all arguing with each other all the time.

    There is no broad consenus view as there is with say all climate scientists saying climate change is real, all biologists and archaeologists and geologists saying evolution is real and the earth is 4.5b years old.

    But with Navvaro… he apparently hasn’t done much or any really groundbreaking research, spent about two or three decades teaching, and during that time he realized he could make way more money selling pop-econ books to people who want to be able to argue about Econ to support their ideology without actually learning Econ.

    You know, pretentious blowhards.

    Anyway he also went to jail for Contempt of Congress for lying to the Jan 6th committee.

    He is an absolute hack fraud at this point.

    So there, me with a BSc. in Econ, I’m calling him out rofl.


  • sp3ctr4l@lemmy.ziptoMicroblog Memes@lemmy.worldrealistically
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    3 months ago

    Yeah, this is absolutely delusional.

    Even… if all the tariff insanity weren’t going on, even if Trump had lost the election…

    The answer to this question is right, if you add about an order of magnitude.

    20 to 30 months, ie, about 1.5 to 2.5 years.

    And that is arguably still an optimistic time frame, and just… waves away all the ‘would it actually make sense to do this’ considerations.



  • Britain always had bad news about the EU in the newspapers. Their population was never fully committed so it was possible to create a majority against the membership.

    Cool, Brexit was still a disaster.

    Likewise US companies will regularly discuss what they will do when China is going to overtake them. That moment has come. I don’t believe in the coincidence that the US is doing its biggest blunder at the most crucial time of their history.

    Overtake is a gradual, predictable process.

    Suddenly putting roughly 30% tariffs on the entire world in a very sudden and chaotic matter is not even in the same galaxy as US corporations making business plans based on predictable market trends.

    We are making a blunder because we became decadent, entitled, and privileged, and aggreived and then fell under the allure of an incompetent fascist, who, again, is a fucking moron at policy.

    Of course, the strategy can be that half the workers are fired, but with the expectation that they are hired by somebody else.

    … What? If everyone is firing, no one is hiring.

    This is called a recession or depression.

    Lose your higher paying job and maybe replace it with a shitty part time job.

    Net result is everyone is poorer.

    … If you wanted to kickstart making new manufacturing jobs in the US, well you’d need actual money to build the factories.

    If the entire economy crashes, no one, no companies, have money to invest in new capital expenditures. Foreign investment won’t come because exporting out of the US will be a shitty prospect due to retaliatory tariffs, and the general lack of a skilled manufacturing labor force in the US.

    There would have had to have been some kind of accompanying domestic fiscal policy to throw government money, subsidies, tax breaks, whatever to kickstart domestic manufacturing… before you throw the tariffs on.

    But Trump is an idiot and is ideollgically opposed to the government spending money on seemingly anything other than bitcoin and explosively liquifying brown people in ‘shithole’ countries (his words).



  • This article has been posted by me several times. You are only the second person who notices.

    Probably because I am one of the few people on lemmy that actually has a degree in Economics.

    EDIT

    jammed the rest in spoiler tags for the thread's sake

    Granted, just a BSc, but I got it during and after the 07 08 financial crash in the US, and remember arguing with my PhD professors that uh actually, the fact that Iceland just literally jailed all their bankers and did not bail them out… and then their economy just suffered a moderate down turn, instead of a complete collapse, meant that their whole reasoning behind ‘we have to bail out the banks and do QE, there is no other way’ … well here is a case study that disproves your model.

    The US cannot have it all. I think Varoufakis just doesn’t want to be the one who delivers the message. He must have known better.

    I get that he is attempting to explain what he thinks the real plan is, and he’s done a decent job of theory crafting…

    But he is wrong. There is no hidden well thought out plan.

    The people in the Trump admin are unqualified, uncoordinated morons. They are only there because they are loyal to Trump.

    It is chaos. Not 12D chess.

    Varoufakis, and you, are sane-washing the Trump regime. You both cannot comprehend something this tumultuous would occur without some reasoning behind it.

    There is none, at least none that is coherent and makes any sense.

    These people are dangerous megalomaniacal idiots who failed upward because of nepotism and corruption.

    They are idiots, as are the Americans who voted them in.

    There is no silver lining to this.

    America is now as corrupt and broken and oligsrchichal as Russia, if not more.

    I don’t fully agree with your outlook. The companies are not massively objecting.

    Please give me some examples of any companies based outside of the US who are doing anything other than cowering in fear and issuing statements that amount to ‘We believe in Donald Trump’s plan, we love Trump, please don’t hurt us, please give us a tariff carve out, we’ll bribe you.’

    I genuinely have no idea what you’re talking about.

    Even domestic US companies are going fucking nuts.

    I think the concept has already been discussed by key people, in the US and internationally. Like Japan is prepared to build a nuclear bomb and Britain was prepared for Brexit, the big companies are prepared for decoupling from China.

    Are you just stating your opinion?

    Britain was not prepared for Brexit, and it was a disaster.

    The US is currently trying to do… WorldExit, just fuck over our capacity to trade not just with the EU, but the entire fucking world.

    It will be a much larger disaster.

    What big US companies have plans to just somehow not use any imports from China?

    What are you talking about?

    We do not have the capacity to source the needed materials internally, at comparable prices.

    The only plan there could be would be basically ‘fire half our workers, pare down operations to the bone, focus on core competencies, pray to baby jesus that somehow this nightmare all ends.’