jeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 5 months agoBiden is on track to beat inflation and lose the presidencywww.vox.comexternal-linkmessage-square10fedilinkarrow-up10arrow-down10
arrow-up10arrow-down1external-linkBiden is on track to beat inflation and lose the presidencywww.vox.comjeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 5 months agomessage-square10fedilink
minus-squarekescusay@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up0·5 months agoUh, there are several recent polls that have Biden ahead, while Democrats have been over-performing polls by about 9 points in recent elections. It’s become so noticable that US News did an article about it.
minus-squareistanbullu@lemmy.mllinkfedilinkarrow-up0·5 months ago538 has been reliable in the past elections. They show an almost-tied race with Trump slightly ahead: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
minus-squareShunkW@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up0arrow-down1·5 months agoWasn’t 538 wrong about Trump winning in 2016 though?
Uh, there are several recent polls that have Biden ahead, while Democrats have been over-performing polls by about 9 points in recent elections.
It’s become so noticable that US News did an article about it.
538 has been reliable in the past elections. They show an almost-tied race with Trump slightly ahead: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Wasn’t 538 wrong about Trump winning in 2016 though?