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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • Coming from the software development side, I interpret this statement a little differently.

    I used to work with a team:

    • 1 engineering manager whose sole focus was management, developing talent and problem solving around the organization
    • 1 very senior engineer who could do the work of 10 ordinary engineers
    • 2-3 mid level engineers who could work somewhat independently, as long as they were provided guidance to start
    • 1-2 junior engineers who could only handle the most basic tasks and needed hand holding through most projects

    Rather than working full tilt, the senior engineer did a lot of work pair programming and helping the juniors develop into better engineers. He accomplished half of what he could, but the team was better for it.

    Fifteen years later, no one hired juniors anymore. We hire 1-2 seniors, 2 mid levels and that’s it. Everyone is expected to focus on developing software. No one cares about training or education.

    The problem with this is we aren’t backfilling the ranks. If we don’t train juniors, they never become mid levels. Without mid levels, we won’t identify the best to become seniors.

    In a world where game development happens on the fringes (indie studios or solo developers), who’s going to hire a junior that can’t contribute meaningfully to the project?









  • Bldck@beehaw.orgtoPrivacy@lemmy.mlProton CEO Andy Yen Interview
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    5 months ago

    In 2024, Nate’s model accurately predicted the exact electoral map.

    He doesn’t do any polling. He aggregates other pollsters, weights it based on past performance and then uses other factors (he calls them fundamentals) to produce an outcome. And I think it’s misguided to suggest that Democratic leadership is looking at Nate’s polls to reinforce their own positions.

    Here’s a quote from a column he wrote for the NYT

    It may even feel as though we’re Ping-Ponging between radically different futures, never quite certain what lies around the bend. Yet on the whole in 2024, polling did not experience much of a miss and had a reasonable year. Ms. Harris led by only one point in my final national polling average. And Donald Trump led in five of seven key states, albeit incredibly narrowly. The final polling averages were correct in 48 of 50 states. The final Times/Siena national poll (including third-party candidates) had Mr. Trump one point ahead. There was plenty of data to support a Trump win.

    Remember that the Biden campaign had an internal poll showing Trump winning ~48 states in a total landslide victory, but they maintained that Biden was the best candidate.


  • I’m reminded of this Nate Silver quote from the election:

    Democrats, however — and here, I’m not referring so much Silver Bulletin subscribers but in the broader universe online — often get angry with you when you only halfway agree with them. And I really think this difference in personality profiles tells you a little something about why Trump won: Trump was happy to take on all comers, whereas with Democrats, disagreement on any hot-button topic (say, COVID school closures or Biden’s age) will have you cast out as a heretic. That’s not a good way to build a majority, and now Democrats no longer have one.






  • rysnc might be a faster and more reliable option. It can compress the files for transfer and does checksums after the transfer is complete

    I used something like this to transfer 12 TB from offsite to onsite with zero failures

    
    rsync -arvzip --progress /path/to/host /path/to/destination
    
    

    You can set up a screen and let this run in the background all the time



  • In the 2000s and early 2010s, less of your life was lived on a cell phone or smartphone.

    For kids now, it’s 100% of their lives. Post-COVID, the majority of social interaction between peers is through a social media app.

    That means that close to 100% of kids are on their phones during the school day. If you aren’t, you run the risk of social isolation and FOMO.

    Administrators can’t send a kid to detention for using their phone because ALL kids would be in detention every day.

    Here’s one article that examines the problem