• granolabar@kbin.melroy.org
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    4 days ago

    Well Ukraine got worn out over last 2 years with spotty western support and weird restrictions on weapons usage.

    This is where the west wanted Ukraine. So here we are.

    Russia is weakened so west and US got what they wanted it so now we are ready to do a deal.

    Nobody will ever give up nukes after this and many countries are going to be getting their nukes in order as that is the only way to properly secure sovereignty and territorial integrity.

    Coupled with Israel behavior undermining “rules” based international order, this is the brave new world we got.

    Cheers.

    • freagle@lemmygrad.ml
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      4 days ago

      [nukes are] the only way to properly secure sovereignty and territorial integrity

      As North Korea had correctly identified early and worked towards diligently to protect their people.

    • davel [he/him]@lemmy.mlOP
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      4 days ago

      This is where the west wanted Ukraine. So here we are.

      Russia is weakened so west and US got what they wanted it so now we are ready to do a deal.

      What the West wanted ideally was the balkanization and re-neocolonialization of Russia. https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/17/the-west-is-preparing-for-russias-disintegration/

      The “weakening” of Russia is what they considered “second prize,” but they didn’t even get that, because Russia is now stronger. The sanctions have backfired. Russia has severed its ties with the “garden” and strengthened its ties to the “jungle.”

      • geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml
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        4 days ago

        Unlikely. If the west was pushing to destroy Russia they would have provided Ukraine with adequate arms to do so. They deliberately created a drawn out long conflict. Whether Russia has been weakened as they hoped is debateable. It does not yet appear so.

        • PolandIsAStateOfMind@lemmy.ml
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          3 days ago

          They wanted to destroy Russia economically, not militarily, you know, the usual “bog them in forever war and sanction them to death because we control the world finance systems” and it had a good chance of success, but they miscalculated since Russia relations with China and global south in general proven to be much more robust. It was also first time after 1991 so many countries just told US “no” when they demanded another country be destroyed economically. As result BRICS managed to build their own alternative for US controlled finance system, which is pretty ad hoc by now, but it already works and is being strenghtened.

        • Grapho@lemmy.ml
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          4 days ago

          The west has to balance providing adequate arms and not getting bombed/invaded themselves. They only do invasions on enemies they think can’t defend themselves.

          They thought the sanctions would do to Russia what it did to Libya, Venezuela, Iraq, and many others, and that they’d only need to drag this one out to win it on the economic rather than the military front. That obviously hasn’t worked, so rather than broker the peace talks a majority of Ukrainians want, they’re escalating because they don’t know how to do diplomacy, they only know how to do extortion. They’re talking about “negotiating from strength” ffs.

          • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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            4 days ago

            Only permawar provides for the most weapon sales. The sanctions on Russia was tighter colonization of EU by the US. To the last Ukrainian is opportunity to buy Ukraine assets for cheap, and making the war last longer, means cheaper, and more EU subservience.

            • Grapho@lemmy.ml
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              4 days ago

              Also more debt. The same people whining about the fictitious Chinese debt trap are really silent about how the US are lending billions to Ukraine so they can finance these arms deals, we know what these countries do once you can’t repay, they confiscate all your shit.

          • geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml
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            4 days ago

            If Russia was ever truly pushed to the brink Russia could always nuke Ukraine. There is no real way to win against nukes besides giving Ukraine their nukes back because America did not hold up their end of the nuclear deal.

            • Grapho@lemmy.ml
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              4 days ago

              Maybe don’t give nukes to a fucking nazi government in hopes that’ll bring peace? Why not start with diplomacy and iterate from there?

        • lorty@lemmygrad.ml
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          4 days ago

          Their industry has been slowly decaying over the years and can’t adequately supply Ukraine in a long, drawn out conflict without jeopardizing their own defense. The amount of equipment Ukraine received at the first few months of the conflict was staggering, but most of it was from stockpiles built over years. Russia ramped up their industry a lot during the war and is outproducing the west, so it’s no wonder they are winning.

          • geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml
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            4 days ago

            Not really. Only recently have they started sending modern long range missiles and semi modern fighter jets to Ukraine. Those were available since the start.

    • Grapho@lemmy.ml
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      4 days ago

      The restrictions aren’t “weird”. These are weapons that need satellite guidance from NATO satellites and stockpiled at NATO bases.

      If they started being fired en masse, Russia would need to disable those satellites, and the US only instigated this war to weaken Russia and prevent it from arming anti imperialist resistance groups in the middle east. It’s not interested in actually fighting, because fighting an organized army is much harder, much costlier, and carries more risk than invading Asian countries with peasant militias.

    • john89@lemmy.ca
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      3 days ago

      How long is a long time?

      I remember when people were legitimately saying Ukraine could take back crimea…

      • folaht@lemmy.ml
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        2 days ago

        For me, I would say around 2020 and knowing the US was responsible for blowing up the pipelines the around summer 2021, considering the news at that time I could already tell. Not in detail, but enough to know it a high likelyhood, with doubts in between.

  • wieson@feddit.org
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    3 days ago

    It’s not necessary to reclaim every kilometre with fighting. If Russia is brought to it’s knees financially, the peace can still be achieved.

    Just look at ww1. For its entirety, the front was in France and Belgium and Germany held french territory. They still lost. And the Atlantic blockade and sanctions were a big part of that.

  • LePoisson@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    You understand that just posting a bunch of bullshit links with bad takes doesn’t make it true.

  • Bobr@lemmy.libertarianfellowship.org
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    4 days ago

    The sadistic clown gets more and more pathetic…

    No negotiations until we get Crimea back.

    Ok we won’t get Crimea. But no negotiatians until we get back to 2022 borders.

    Ok we won’t get back to 2022 borders. But no negotiations until someone makes Putin negotiate with me (???).


    Turning Ukrainians into slaves who cannot leave the country are kidnapped off the streets and sent to die the most horrible deaths in the meatgrinder? Yes that’s totally legal and absolutely moral, why are you even asking?

    Making peace with Russia by admitting you lost the war to save hundreds of thousands of lives? That’s like the most illegal and horrible thing ever.

    • Ciderpunk@lemmy.world
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      4 days ago

      Hey I have a question. What precipitating circumstances made all of this necessary? Was there like, I dunno, another country that invaded or anything? It sure would change the context of everything you were saying if there was some kind of external event that made these things happen and they aren’t just occurring in a vacuum! Not to mention the stuff you’re just outright lying about, almost like you’re working in service of some other group that may or may not have an interest in this particular situation, but again, you’re insisting all this happened in a vacuum so that can’t be true!

      • Bobr@lemmy.libertarianfellowship.org
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        Hey I have a question. What precipitating circumstances made all of this necessary? Was there like, I dunno, another country that invaded or anything?

        Yeah, it’s cool that it justifies all the atrocities and tortures of his regime, right? Kidnapping people off the streets, beating them, holding them in basements for multiple days. Forbidding people to leave the country, making them stay in the bombed cities so that there are more casualties.

        Not to mention the stuff you’re just outright lying about

        Why wouldn’t you specify what I’m lying about? :)

        almost like you’re working in service of some other group that may or may not have an interest in this particular situation, but again, you’re insisting all this happened in a vacuum so that can’t be true!

        I mean I guess that’s true. I’m indeed part of such a group - a group of people who would like to not get murdered along with their entire families and all their friends by Zelensky’s regime…

        • Ciderpunk@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          I had no idea that the president of Ukraine was in control of the Russian forces invading the country, if you have proof of this you should probably like, reveal it or something, that would be kind of a big news story!

            • Ciderpunk@lemmy.world
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              4 days ago

              My mistake, you described things Russia is doing and then assigned the agency of those things to the president of Ukraine, so I’m sure you can see why I’d be confused!

              • Bobr@lemmy.libertarianfellowship.org
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                My mistake, you described things Russia is doing and then assigned the agency of those things to the president of Ukraine, so I’m sure you can see why I’d be confused!

                Lol, really?

                Russia is doing “Forbidding people to leave the country, making them stay in the bombed cities so that there are more casualties.”?
                Woah, now I see why everyone hates Russia! If Russia really has this power of forbidding people to leave the territory they do not control - we really need to destroy them at all cost, this power is too dangerous for anyone to have it… /s

                • Ciderpunk@lemmy.world
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                  4 days ago

                  Nice work cherry picking the single item on the list that doesn’t fit, you sure aren’t beating the allegations today!

        • Soleos@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          Assuming you’re coming from a place of arguing in good faith, you raise an important point. We must always scrutinize the alignment of our means with the ideals of our ends. And in war, even with a just cause of repelling invaders and securing a people’s future, there is a spectrum of injustice against their people that leaders must weigh against achieving these goals. Conscription is a good example of this. War makes monsters of even the most well intentioned. However, we must consider the alternatives that appeal most to us with equal scrutiny, using history as our guide. If Zelensky surrendered at the very outset, it would have avoided this particular bloody war, but what injustice would it have incurred for the Ukranian people? If Zelensky sued for peace terms and conceded territory 2 years ago instead of leaning into conscription, what harms does it risk for the Ukranian people and their long term security using Crimea as an example? I am not qualified to say what are better choices. I just know that when a superior force invades you, the grim situation that results means that any choice you make as a leader will involve harm to your people.

    • Quacksalber@sh.itjust.works
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      4 days ago

      “Save lives” are you dense? Russia is kidnapping, torturing, killing and deporting Ukrainians in the occupied regions on an industrial scale. Every time Russia retreated, mass graves and torture cbambers were found.

      Ukraine is conscripting Ukrainians like any other country that has been attacked before it has done. The west could have equipped those poeple. The west could have trained those people. In fact, most Ukrainians that are currently dodging the draft are saying that they would let themselves get drafted, if they were properly equipped and trained. It’s in the west’s power to do that. They just don’t want to. Also, you just conveniently ignore the absolutely horrific losses the Russians are having with theirmeat wave assaults. But I guess in your world view, Zelensky is responsible for that too.

      • OurToothbrush@lemmy.mlM
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        4 days ago

        “Save lives” are you dense? Russia is kidnapping, torturing, killing and deporting Ukrainians in the occupied regions on an industrial scale.

        Serious citations needed. Please do not spread atrocity propaganda in this comm.

          • OurToothbrush@lemmy.mlM
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            4 days ago

            I’ve found no UN reports detailing activities such as those on an industrial scale. Please cite the UN reports.

            • Quacksalber@sh.itjust.works
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              4 days ago

              https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/hrbodies/hrcouncil/coiukraine/a-hrc-55-66-aev.pdf

              2.58.

              The Commission previously found that Russian authorities had committed torture in seven provinces of Ukraine and in the Russian Federation. 32 It has continued to gather evidence of widespread and systematic use of torture by Russian authorities, in both Ukraine and the Russian Federation.

              Literally the first report I opened.

              • OurToothbrush@lemmy.mlM
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                4 days ago

                Continue, you only have several more claims that aren’t cited. For example, the use of language “industrial scale” for torture.

                Also please keep in mind that this isn’t a high standard of evidence, as UN reports often are influenced- such as the significant citations of the German fascist Adrien Zenz in some of their reporting on China.

                • Quacksalber@sh.itjust.works
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                  Please enlighten me what the substantive difference between ‘industrial scale’ and ‘systematic and widespread’ is. Not enough conveyor belts and smokestacks?

                  Similarly, please point out to me what your exact issue is with the report I linked.

                  Also, citation needed that Zenz is a fascist. I found much criticism of him, but no credible allegation that he is a fascist.

          • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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            4 days ago

            Bucha has high likelihood of being black flag/theater propaganda. It’s not like Israel denying they committed the first gaza hospital for 2 day media blitz, and then destroying all of the other ones. You can’t trust Ukrainian PR because it is entirely a fundraising campaign.

      • Bobr@lemmy.libertarianfellowship.org
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        4 days ago

        “Save lives” are you dense? Russia is kidnapping, torturing, killing

        Woah… Holy shit, you actually said that… “kidnapping, torturing, killing” - literally what Zelensky’s regime is doing.

        Ukraine is conscripting Ukrainians like any other country that has been attacked before it has done.

        Woah, other regimes are also gasing people and trying to set their cars on fire? They must be good ones.

        In fact, most Ukrainians that are currently dodging the draft are saying that they would let themselves get drafted

        I know I know, all of us would gladly die for your interests, and those of us who wouldn’t are Russian agents.

        • Quacksalber@sh.itjust.works
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          4 days ago

          Woah… Holy shit, you actually said that… “kidnapping, torturing, killing” - literally what Zelensky’s regime is doing.

          So you want to sell me one incident that is acknowledged and is being investigated as a gotcha to discredit the systematic and widespread torture the Russian state is employing? You really are dense.

          Woah, other regimes are also gasing people and trying to set their cars on fire? They must be good ones.

          And again, you want to sell me one incident that is being investigated as a gotcha to the illegal and widespread use of tear gas by Russia in this war? Not beating my accusation there, you are.

          • Bobr@lemmy.libertarianfellowship.org
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            4 days ago

            So you want to sell me one incident

            Holy fuck, and you are telling me that I’m dense… That’s what happens every single day, it’s in the mainstream western media for a long time now - https://www.yahoo.com/news/m-ukrainian-conscription-officer-people-070000956.html. Zelensky’s regime kidnaps and beats people every single day, thanks to your support.
            How many accidents would be enough for you to admit that Zelensky is terrorizing Ukrainians with your support? That’s a rhetorical question of course, obviously Zelensky can do whatever he wants as long as Russians are dying as well, right?

              • Bobr@lemmy.libertarianfellowship.org
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                4 days ago

                Got it, Zelensky can kidnap, torture and murder people until UN releases a report on it. Thanks for clarification. At least you set some red line, usually its simple “to the last Ukrainian” kind of thing :/

                • Quacksalber@sh.itjust.works
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                  Yes comrade, I too envision Zelensky personally pressimg a gun to the temple of every Ukrainian that refuses to get drafted. What a despicable behavior, to make out the victim of an invasion to be the perpetrator.

                  There is exactly one person that can end the invasion with the snap of a finger, and that person is Putin.

        • Ciderpunk@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          You sure do have a lot of energy to complain about Ukraine while bending over backwards to avoid acknowledging that there might be some kind of external event that might be impacting these things, like, I dunno, some kind of invasion or something. Maybe if those people left, that would also be a solution??? Just spitballing here. But truly, giving up is the best solution for everyone Russia.

          • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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            4 days ago

            They’re not leaving until NATO and Ukraine abandons NATO membership, but they are leaving as soon as they do. Why fight for that purpose?

            • Ciderpunk@lemmy.world
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              4 days ago

              “You don’t need to be protected from us” he said while invading.

              Yeah, again, not a winning argument here.

          • Bobr@lemmy.libertarianfellowship.org
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            4 days ago

            You sure do have a lot of energy to complain about Ukraine while bending over backwards to avoid acknowledging that there might be some kind of external event that might be impacting these things, like, I dunno, some kind of invasion or something. Maybe if those people left, that would also be a solution??? Just spitballing here. But truly, giving up is the best solution for everyone Russia.

            Why are you trying to make me responsible for the invasion? How is this my fault? How is this fault of every other (well, non-Nazi ones anyway) Ukrainian? Why do you support terrorizing, murdering and torturing all of us?

            • Ciderpunk@lemmy.world
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              4 days ago

              Well since I said “you” and you aren’t the entire population of Ukraine (I assume, but maybe you do in fact contain multitudes) I don’t see how this is relevant at all!

      • Grapho@lemmy.ml
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        4 days ago

        He’s losing it because his western sponsors won’t let him negotiate a peace deal (that the majority OF HIS COUNTRY wants, regardless of what armchair chicken hawks think they should do). If he had tried at any point, he would have gotten deposed (or worse) like they deposed Yanukovich in 2014.

    • TimeSquirrel@kbin.melroy.org
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      4 days ago

      Okay, I’m moving into your living room and shooting your dog. If you or your family try to stop me, you’re a sadistic clown apparently.

      • Bobr@lemmy.libertarianfellowship.org
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        Okay, I’m moving into your living room and shooting your dog. If you or your family try to stop me, you’re a sadistic clown apparently.

        Please tell me more about this analogy of yours.

        He is a sadistic clown because he turned country into a mass prison where he kidnaps people off the streets, beats them and send them to the meatgrinder to die. And those who don’t like it are literally tortured. All while you cheer his efforts.

        • TimeSquirrel@kbin.melroy.org
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          4 days ago

          Until somehow the world order changes and states dissolve into something else, drafts are a fact of life. One of the prices you pay for having a state provide you with stable infrastructure, transportation, fire, medical, law enforcement, property rights, etc. etc. is the possibility that one day you may be called upon to defend that state.

          Your beef is with the systems we have, not Zelensky in particular.

    • john89@lemmy.ca
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      3 days ago

      I don’t consider him a ‘sadistic clown,’ but I do see your point.

    • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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      4 days ago

      Latest is that no one should negotiate with Russia but him, while also getting immediate NATO and EU membership.